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OPEN INTEREST:
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399,592
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 27, 2:41 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Minnesota and Washington. It tracks the performance of each team specifically in the last 15 minutes of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the points scored during that designated timeframe.
If Washington wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Minnesota vs Washington college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Minnesota vs Washington college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Minnesota vs Washington college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the same information. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the conclusion of the 4th quarter of the Minnesota vs Washington game will be declared the winner. The result will be determined by the official game statistics and verified against reliable sports news sources. The platform will then finalize settlement based on which team held the lead when the final whistle blows.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or changes in team strategy could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance during the game itself – a dominant start by one team, key turnovers, or impactful plays – will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Public sentiment and media coverage could also play a role, as they can influence trader behavior. Any significant development related to the Minnesota vs Washington game has the potential to move this market before it resolves.