TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Minnesota and Washington. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics during the initial 15 minutes of play, ignoring the rest of the game's outcome.
If Washington wins the 1st quarter of the Minnesota vs Washington college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the 1st quarter of the Minnesota vs Washington college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Minnesota vs Washington college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analysts' predictions, especially when considering the financial incentive for correct forecasts. It's common to see discrepancies, as sportsbooks may react more slowly to new information or public sentiment than the dynamic trading occurring in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Minnesota winning the first quarter, Washington winning the first quarter, or a tie. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the first quarter of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first quarter winner of the Minnesota vs Washington game will be determined based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will then verify the winning team and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing teams will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact the odds. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any late-breaking team news will be closely watched by traders. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, even based on social media trends, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.