TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how decisively either team wins the first quarter of an upcoming college football game. It reflects betting interest in early-game performance, where participants speculate on the point differential between Minnesota and Washington in the initial 15 minutes of play.
The market resolves based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Minnesota vs Washington college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Any market where the specified team wins by more than the indicated point margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points) will resolve to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders expressing their beliefs about the actual outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into where the market believes the value lies compared to conventional betting options.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the first quarter of the Minnesota versus Washington game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Washington teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might influence traders' perceptions and lead to price adjustments. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role.