TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance thresholds for both teams in an upcoming football game. Bettors can assess whether each team will surpass specific yardage milestones, offering varied levels of difficulty for prediction.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards accumulated by either Minnesota or Tampa Bay in their game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific yardage threshold (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, or 450+) for one team, resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds its designated threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to express their best estimate of the true probability of an outcome. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities from Kalshi diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of the team’s total yardage falling at or below that level. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher yardage total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to reflect the latest information and collective beliefs of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics for total team yardage are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals for both the Minnesota and Tampa Bay teams will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL and will be considered final once validated.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Minnesota or Tampa Bay teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to impact passing or running games, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team preparations, as well as any significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.