TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:21 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of both teams in a specific football game by focusing on how many field goals each team successfully kicks. The outcomes depend solely on the actual game results, reflecting strategic decisions made by coaches regarding when to attempt field goals.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals each team records during the Minnesota vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ field goals) for each team, and resolution depends on whether the team's total meets or exceeds that threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly as more information becomes available and the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparing public perception to the insights generated by traders on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and liquidity, indicated by the volume, influence how readily prices change in response to new trades.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of field goals scored in the Minnesota versus Tampa Bay game will be used to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the official results are available. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches, as any late-breaking news could impact the final result and therefore the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key players, particularly kickers and holders, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as strong winds or rain, could also affect the likelihood of successful field goal attempts. Unexpected strategic shifts by either team, or even in-game developments like penalties that move teams closer to field goal range, could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is key to informed trading on Kalshi.