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Minnesota vs Tampa Bay: Rushing Yards
kalshi

What is the result of Minnesota vs Tampa Bay?

Volume:
$271,509

Aaron Jones Sr.: 50+

 - Kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.: 50+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 7:37 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.: 50+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,241
N/A
N/A
$15,602
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bucky Irving: 30+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,134
N/A
N/A
$8,047
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.: 30+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,643
N/A
N/A
$5,218
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bucky Irving: 40+

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,499
N/A
N/A
$4,459
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 10+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,560
N/A
N/A
$2,455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bucky Irving: 25+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,226
N/A
N/A
$2,226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 15+

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,849
N/A
N/A
$1,588
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.: 40+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,440
N/A
N/A
$1,427
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baker Mayfield: 5+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$754
N/A
N/A
$742
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baker Mayfield: 20+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,471
N/A
N/A
$32,268
Settled
No
kalshi

Baker Mayfield: 15+

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,523
N/A
N/A
$22,270
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 40+

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,563
N/A
N/A
$19,166
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 20+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,834
N/A
N/A
$17,413
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.: 60+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,942
N/A
N/A
$9,464
Settled
No
kalshi

Bucky Irving: 50+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,149
N/A
N/A
$10,050
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 25+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,357
N/A
N/A
$11,140
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.: 70+

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,712
N/A
N/A
$6,848
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 60+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,563
N/A
N/A
$10,548
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 30+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,165
N/A
N/A
$9,131
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 50+

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,829
N/A
N/A
$9,777
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.: 80+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,933
N/A
N/A
$5,050
Settled
No
kalshi

Bucky Irving: 60+

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,895
N/A
N/A
$5,010
Settled
No
kalshi

Baker Mayfield: 10+

View
0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,047
N/A
N/A
$3,874
Settled
No
kalshi

Baker Mayfield: 25+

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,777
N/A
N/A
$4,150
Settled
No
kalshi

Bucky Irving: 70+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,147
N/A
N/A
$3,785
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 47

Description

This event tracks rushing yard milestones for specific players in an upcoming football game. Each market focuses on whether a designated player achieves a particular rushing yard threshold during the match. The outcome depends entirely on the players' performance in terms of ground gained through running plays.

Kalshi

All markets in this event assess whether specified players achieve particular rushing yard thresholds in the Minnesota vs Tampa Bay professional football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market has a primary rule stating that if the named player records the specified number of rushing yards or more, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. A consistent secondary rule applies across all markets: if the player is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once the player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based solely on the actual rushing yards recorded during the game. These rules ensure that markets resolve fairly based on in-game performance, with specific provisions for players who do not participate in any offensive plays.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL rushing yards market tracks the current price of contracts, representing the probability of different rushing yard totals for the Minnesota vs Tampa Bay game. You'll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $238,637. The total volume traded on this market is $271,509. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the expected rushing performance in this matchup.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see this market move differently than sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public perception shifts. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing market structures and risk appetites between the two, and the sportsbook may adjust their odds closer to the prediction market as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular yardage range, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the strength of conviction behind different predictions. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own assessments of the game.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Minnesota vs Tampa Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard total, as reported by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts payout. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual rushing yard total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for different totals will not. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on official game data.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting rain or snow, which could affect the running game. News regarding offensive line changes or defensive strategies could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news about the quarterbacks’ health or performance could also shift expectations. Any significant updates related to player availability or game conditions are likely to cause movement in this market as traders react to the new information.