TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game, focusing on the total yards he gains through both rushing and receiving. The outcome depends on whether the player meets certain yardage thresholds during the game. These markets provide a way to speculate on the player's effectiveness in accumulating total yards.
These markets evaluate whether Bucky Irving achieves specified cumulative rushing and receiving yard thresholds in the Minnesota vs. Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different yardage benchmark (80+, 105+, and 130+ yards combined). If Irving is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once Irving takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets resolve based on the total rushing and receiving yards he records during the game. The markets are independent of any official league affiliation, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting patterns, but this market allows for continuous price discovery driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can offer a broader view of expectations for this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential for players to exceed or fall short of the yardage totals in the Minnesota vs Tampa Bay game. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics from the Minnesota vs Tampa Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing and receiving yardage totals for the players involved will be used to determine which contracts settle positively. The resolution will be based on the official game data, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to view the final results and settlement details on Kalshi following the completion of the game and the official release of the statistics.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key players on both the Minnesota and Tampa Bay teams would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the game plan or weather forecasts. Unexpected news regarding player availability, such as a late-breaking injury announcement, could cause rapid price adjustments. Additionally, analysis from sports analysts and updated projections regarding player performance could shift market sentiment. Finally, large trades within Kalshi itself can also move the market, especially as the game approaches and traders refine their predictions.