TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming football game between Minnesota and Tampa Bay. It captures the dynamic nature of the game's early progression, focusing on the pace at which each team scores. The outcome depends purely on the in-game action and not on the final score.
The event determines which team, Minnesota or Tampa Bay, will be the first to score 14 points in their football game scheduled for September 27, 2026, or if neither team achieves this milestone. If either team reaches 14 points first during the game—including any overtime period—that team's corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team score 14 points at any point in the game, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. You may find that this market offers different probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks, potentially revealing insights that aren't captured in conventional odds. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different probabilities of each team reaching 14 points first. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price curve dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the perceived likelihood of each outcome. The current volume of $1,944 indicates the level of interest and participation in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially reaches 14 points first during the game between Minnesota and Tampa Bay. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and announce the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Minnesota or Tampa Bay would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as strong offensive showings or defensive weaknesses, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also be a catalyst, potentially favoring one team's style of play over the other. Finally, any significant public betting activity or analysis from sports commentators could influence the direction of this market.