TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific passing yard thresholds for named players in an upcoming football game. Outcomes depend on whether the designated player achieves the exact yardage levels set for each market during the contest. The structure allows for multiple benchmarks to be evaluated against individual performances.
All markets resolve based on whether the named player records the specified passing yard threshold or higher in the Minnesota vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage thresholds for each named player, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the specific benchmark.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of each venue. If you find significant differences between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could signal an opportunity to exploit a mispricing, or indicate that traders possess information not yet reflected in traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability that the actual passing yards will fall within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price is determined solely by the interactions of traders on the platform, and is not influenced by external factors or a central bookmaker. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing yardage statistics for the Minnesota vs Tampa Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the total passing yards achieved during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the range containing the actual passing yardage will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. The market will then close, and all outstanding contracts will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also move the market. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or play-calling tendencies, as well as any late-breaking news related to player availability, could all contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their predictions leading up to game day.