TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of outcomes between the first half and the full game result in a professional football match. Each market requires both the first half leader and the final game winner (or tie) to match the specified conditions for resolution.
The markets resolve based on the combined outcome of the first half and the full game result, including any overtime periods, of the designated Minnesota vs Tampa Bay professional football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the specified first half result (win for Tampa Bay, win for Minnesota, or tie) and the specified full game result (win for Tampa Bay, win for Minnesota, or tie) must occur exactly as described. If either the first half or the full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the long run. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading activity. It’s common to see convergence over time as more information becomes available and trading volume increases, but discrepancies can still occur due to differing market participants and risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market’s accuracy, as more participants are actively trading.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Minnesota vs Tampa Bay game, specifically the 1st Half / Fulltime Result as determined by official league sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will then receive their winnings or losses based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in other games impacting team morale or playoff positioning could also play a role. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants can sometimes trigger significant price movements, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment regarding the Minnesota vs Tampa Bay game.