TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Minnesota will win the upcoming professional football game against New York G, with the current probability on Kalshi standing at 77.0% for Minnesota and 22.0% for New York G. The resolution source is the game's result as played on August 15, 2026. The outcome will be confirmed following the final whistle of the match on that date, so keep an eye on the game as it unfolds.
Resolution is based on the official final result of the Minnesota vs New York G professional football game scheduled for August 15, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, each outcome resolves to $0.50. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair market price.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, while sportsbooks set lines designed to balance action and lock in profit margins. Prediction markets often incorporate real-time information and adjust faster than traditional sportsbooks, since participants have direct financial incentive to price outcomes accurately. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus diverges from bookmaker positioning.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction executed—and moves as new orders flow in. Higher trading volume typically narrows the spread between buy and sell prices, making it easier to enter or exit positions at fair value.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, once the game concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and which team wins, confirmed through official league reporting and widely available sports data. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on live game developments, injury reports, and trader expectations.
Key player injuries, lineup changes, or roster updates announced before game time can shift odds significantly. Live game developments—such as early scoring, momentum swings, or unexpected tactical adjustments—will trigger rapid repricing as traders update their forecasts in real time. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking news about team form or motivation may also influence trader positioning and cause notable price moves.