TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 3:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Minnesota or New York during the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets determine whether New York or Minnesota wins the third quarter of their Pro Football game by exceeding specified point differentials. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, for either team to win the quarter. The outcome is based solely on points scored during the third quarter, with no consideration for the overall game result or points from other quarters. All markets operate independently, meaning each resolves based on its specific threshold being met or not. The governing body's official scoring and game records will be used to determine the results.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent possible point differentials in the third quarter. The current implied probability reflects the market’s best estimate of which team will cover the spread during that period. Volume of $8,467 and recent 24-hour volume of $6,147 show how actively participants are engaging with this market right now.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final official game statistics — specifically the points scored by each team in the third quarter — will determine whether Minnesota or New York covers the spread. The result is finalized after the game’s official box score is published.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates to star players, weather conditions affecting game pace, and strategic decisions by coaches that impact scoring trends. Any major news released before or during the first half could dramatically change trader expectations for the third quarter’s spread. Additionally, early-game performance — especially if one team builds a large lead — may influence how aggressively traders bet on the third quarter outcome.