TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Over 217.5 points
- Kalshi
Over 217.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 22, 2026
Time left: 05d:04h:48m
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Speculators evaluate whether a basketball match between Minnesota and Miami will exceed various point thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high-scoring outcomes based on team performance and game dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored in the Minnesota vs Miami Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 21, 2026. For any market, if the combined points exceed the specified threshold (e.g., Over 215.5 points), it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the price of contracts in this market will adjust, potentially moving closer to or further away from sportsbook odds. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a significant amount of trading occurs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different point totals for the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the Minnesota vs Miami game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a total equal to or exceeding the actual score will pay $100, while those predicting a lower total will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a clear and objective outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact the price of contracts in this market. Key injuries to star players on either the Minnesota or Miami teams would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might attract attention and drive volume in this market as well.