TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional MLS soccer match between Minnesota and Los Angeles. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Minnesota vs Los Angeles professional MLS soccer game scheduled for September 19, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any given market, if the cumulative goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties) exceed the specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not affiliated with the MLS, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, sportsbooks have access to different information, such as injury reports and team news, that may not be immediately reflected in the prediction market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Minnesota vs Los Angeles game. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The goal is for the price to reflect the true probability of the event happening, as determined by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Minnesota vs Los Angeles game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and widely available sports news outlets. The resolution process ensures that the outcome is determined objectively and transparently, based on the actual results of the game, and is not subject to interpretation or dispute.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Minnesota or Los Angeles teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about team tactics or starting lineups could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could also move this market before resolution.