TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event refers to a professional baseball game between two teams, originally scheduled for a specific date and time. The focus is on whether the game will extend beyond its standard duration due to the requirement of additional playtime to determine a final outcome. The occurrence of such an extension depends on the game's progression and concluding rules.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Minnesota vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 4:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and prices adjust based on collective belief. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take a position in the prediction market, driving the price to reflect their view. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds offering a different perspective than traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Minnesota vs Los Angeles game will go to extra innings. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism where the market itself determines the odds, rather than a fixed oddsmaker.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the Minnesota vs Los Angeles baseball game officially goes to extra innings, as determined by official game statistics. The final result will be based on the official game record, and any disputes will be resolved using publicly available information. The outcome is determined by the official result of the game, not by any subjective interpretation or individual judgment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding potential starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting the game, or significant injuries to key players could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected developments during the game itself, such as a dominant pitching performance or a series of errors, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, general betting trends or large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate a change in market confidence, potentially leading to significant price movements before the game concludes.