TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 9:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between Minnesota and Kansas City. On Kalshi, the current probability that Minnesota will win is 82.0%, while Kansas City has a 18.0% chance. The outcome will be resolved based on the game originally scheduled for August 5, 2026. Watch for developments around August 6, 2026, the estimated resolution date, for confirmation of the game's result.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Minnesota vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for August 5, 2026, at 7:40 PM EDT. If Minnesota wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Kansas City wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, as long as the new date is within two days. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate sharp lines and adjustments for public betting patterns, prediction markets are driven purely by trader sentiment and real-time information flow. This can lead to notable differences in implied probabilities, especially as new data emerges or public sentiment shifts in the days before the game.
Key signals such as player injuries, weather forecasts, coaching changes, or major news releases could shift this market significantly before Aug 6, 2026. Additionally, large trades or shifts in trader sentiment—especially as the game draws closer—can cause rapid changes in implied probabilities, reflecting evolving expectations about which team may come out on top.