TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 9:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates goal-scoring performance for both Minnesota and Juarez in their upcoming Leagues Cup soccer match. Each market assesses whether a team surpasses specific goal thresholds, offering insights into expected offensive output. The outcomes depend solely on goals scored within regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The official rules for this event govern the resolution of multiple markets based on the number of goals scored by each team during the Minnesota vs Juarez professional Leagues Cup soccer game scheduled for August 4, 2026. All markets resolve based on goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with explicit exclusion of goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. Own goals are counted toward the team to which they are awarded. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of goals for either Minnesota or Juarez: markets for Minnesota evaluate whether the team scores above 0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals, while markets for Juarez evaluate the same thresholds for that team. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the respective team exceeds the stated goal threshold within the defined timeframe; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others, and each is assessed solely on the final count of goals scored by the specified team during regular time.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to varied participant motivations and information sources. While sportsbooks set lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets aggregate beliefs from participants who may react to new data faster. This can create pricing gaps, especially before major match updates or injuries are publicly reported. Monitoring both can provide a broader view of shifting expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the two possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of participants about Minnesota’s scoring potential against Juarez. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or weather updates — trading volume may surge, quickly adjusting the odds to incorporate the latest insights.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared against the over/under threshold to determine which side of the market is settled, based on data from official league records and widely trusted sports news sources.
Injuries to key Minnesota players, weather conditions affecting the game, and tactical changes by either team’s coaching staff could all shift this market. High-profile analyst predictions or pre-match betting trends in traditional sportsbooks may also influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments — such as a coaching change or a last-minute lineup adjustment — can cause rapid swings in market odds as participants reassess probabilities.