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24H VOL:

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Minnesota vs Houston: Spread
kalshi

What is the spread result of Minnesota vs Houston?

Volume:
$501,486

Minnesota wins by over 3.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 3.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 11:34 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 3.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$140,732
N/A
N/A
$75,145
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Twins wins by over 4.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$87,976
N/A
N/A
$38,173
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$67,118
N/A
N/A
$29,932
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56,650
N/A
N/A
$25,068
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74,960
N/A
N/A
$55,492
Settled
No
kalshi

Twins wins by over 5.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,207
N/A
N/A
$16,216
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,381
N/A
N/A
$11,260
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,590
N/A
N/A
$8,580
Settled
No
kalshi

Twins wins by over 6.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,104
N/A
N/A
$2,884
Settled
No
kalshi

Twins wins by over 8.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,037
N/A
N/A
$843
Settled
No
kalshi

Twins wins by over 7.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$731
N/A
N/A
$701
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market focuses on the run differential between Minnesota and Houston in their July 1, 2026 game. Bettors predict whether one team will outscore the other by specific margins by the final out.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the final run differential in the Minnesota vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. Outcomes are determined by whether Houston or Minnesota wins by more than the specified run margin (1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs). Resolution to Yes occurs if the winning team's margin of victory exceeds the threshold specified in that outcome.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Minnesota vs Houston spread market. You can monitor the current price, view the 24-hour volume of $439,633, and observe how traders are positioning themselves on either side of the spread. The interface displays historical price movements, allowing you to see how sentiment has shifted as new information emerges. This market reflects collective trader expectations about the final point differential between the two teams, updated continuously as bets are placed and matched throughout the trading window.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and risk capital. This market aggregates the views of many independent traders wagering real money, which can reveal insights that differ from sportsbook spreads. Comparing the two can highlight where professional bettors and casual traders see value, though both sources provide useful reference points for understanding the matchup.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks on the spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent matched trade, and you can place limit or market orders to buy or sell shares at your desired level. As new information surfaces or trader sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts dynamically. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices move, so monitoring recent trades helps you understand current market conviction around the Minnesota-Houston spread.

This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the Minnesota vs Houston game concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to determine the actual point spread between the two teams. Traders who correctly predicted the spread direction profit, while those on the wrong side lose their stake. The resolution process is automated once the game result is official, ensuring all positions settle fairly and transparently based on the verified final score.

Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, coaching changes, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions on game day can also shift the spread, particularly if rain or wind affects passing games. Line movements at major sportsbooks often precede prediction market adjustments, so monitoring those shifts provides early signals. Trading volume spikes typically occur after major news drops or as game day approaches, reflecting fresh trader conviction. Public sentiment, expert commentary, and betting syndicate activity can all influence how this market reprices before kickoff.