TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball matchup between two teams features multiple thresholds tracking the combined run total scored by both teams during the first five innings of play on June 11, 2026.
Resolution is based on the combined run total scored by Minnesota and Detroit through the completion of five full innings in their game originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific run threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, or 6.5 runs), and resolves to Yes if the combined total exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided resolution occurs within two days of the original scheduled date.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed oddsmaker spreads. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate continuous buy-and-sell activity from many participants. For the Minnesota vs Detroit first-five-innings total, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether traders are pricing the outcome more bullishly or bearishly than the books. These differences create arbitrage opportunities and signal where smart money may be leaning ahead of first pitch.
On Kalshi, the Minnesota vs Detroit: First 5 Innings Total is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that combined runs in the first five innings will exceed or fall short of the specified threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with each cent representing a 1% implied probability increment. The market price updates continuously based on order flow, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before resolution. Kalshi's transparent order book shows all bids and asks, enabling traders to execute at their preferred price or place limit orders to wait for optimal entry points.
The Minnesota vs Detroit: First 5 Innings Total market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, shortly after the conclusion of the first five innings of the game. The outcome is determined by the official combined run total recorded during that five-inning window. Once the fifth inning concludes and the official score is confirmed, the contract settles based on whether the actual total meets or exceeds the threshold specified in the market terms. Early resolution may occur if the game is called or suspended before five complete innings are played, subject to standard baseball rules.
Several factors can shift odds for the Minnesota vs Detroit first-five-innings total before resolution. Starting pitcher announcements, bullpen availability, and recent offensive trends for both teams influence trader expectations. Weather conditions—wind direction and speed particularly affect fly-ball outcomes—can push odds higher or lower. Injury reports or last-minute lineup changes alter scoring potential. Real-time game events, such as early runs, errors, or strong at-bats in the first few innings, will cause sharp repricing as traders update their probability estimates. Breaking news about field conditions or umpire assignments may also trigger volatility in the market.