TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Kalshi:

61%

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Minnesota vs Detroit: First 5 Innings Total
kalshi

Minnesota vs Detroit: First 5 Innings Total

Volume:
$36,778

Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings

 - Kalshi

Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 10:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,560
N/A
N/A
$10,018
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,371
N/A
N/A
$9,530
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,827
N/A
N/A
$4,294
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,271
N/A
N/A
$1,271
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,220
N/A
N/A
$1,220
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,062
N/A
N/A
$1,053
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

A professional baseball game features two teams competing, with focus on their combined scoring output during the first five innings.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often reflect real-time trader conviction and can differ meaningfully from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on models and risk management, prediction markets aggregate live trader belief and adjust continuously. For the Minnesota vs Detroit first 5 innings total, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook offerings reveals how much the crowd's view diverges from bookmaker pricing. Prediction markets typically respond faster to breaking news like lineup changes or weather updates that affect early-game scoring.

On Kalshi, the Minnesota vs Detroit first 5 innings total is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of the top outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with each cent representing a one percent probability increment. The current price reflects accumulated trader positions and new information. As game time approaches, pricing adjusts based on injury reports, weather conditions, and bullpen availability—factors that directly influence early-inning run production. Volume and bid-ask spreads indicate market confidence and liquidity.

The market resolves at Jun 10, 2026, after the completion of the first five innings of the Minnesota vs Detroit game. Resolution is determined by the official combined run total scored by both teams through the end of the fifth inning, as recorded by MLB. The outcome depends on whether that total clears or falls short of the specified threshold embedded in the contract. Early resolution can occur if the game is called or suspended before five innings are complete, subject to standard baseball rules for official games.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and bullpen availability for both teams. Weather conditions—wind speed and direction, temperature, and humidity—significantly affect ball carry and scoring potential. Injury updates to star hitters or elite relievers can shift expectations for early-inning run production. Recent team form, head-to-head matchup history, and ballpark factors at the game location also influence pricing. Breaking news about player rest decisions or last-minute roster moves can trigger sharp moves in the market as traders reassess scoring likelihood in the first five frames.