TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game features two teams competing, with focus on their combined scoring output during the first five innings.
On Kalshi, the Minnesota vs Detroit first 5 innings total is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of the top outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with each cent representing a one percent probability increment. The current price reflects accumulated trader positions and new information. As game time approaches, pricing adjusts based on injury reports, weather conditions, and bullpen availability—factors that directly influence early-inning run production. Volume and bid-ask spreads indicate market confidence and liquidity.
The market resolves at Jun 10, 2026, after the completion of the first five innings of the Minnesota vs Detroit game. Resolution is determined by the official combined run total scored by both teams through the end of the fifth inning, as recorded by MLB. The outcome depends on whether that total clears or falls short of the specified threshold embedded in the contract. Early resolution can occur if the game is called or suspended before five innings are complete, subject to standard baseball rules for official games.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and bullpen availability for both teams. Weather conditions—wind speed and direction, temperature, and humidity—significantly affect ball carry and scoring potential. Injury updates to star hitters or elite relievers can shift expectations for early-inning run production. Recent team form, head-to-head matchup history, and ballpark factors at the game location also influence pricing. Breaking news about player rest decisions or last-minute roster moves can trigger sharp moves in the market as traders reassess scoring likelihood in the first five frames.