TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event examines whether the Minnesota Twins and Detroit Tigers baseball match scheduled for September 8, 2026, will extend into extra innings. Extra innings begin if the score remains tied after the ninth inning, with teams taking turns batting until a decisive outcome emerges. The event's resolution relies on the teams' ability to break the tie during regular play or afterward.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Minnesota vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the game’s outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy between the two, it could indicate that the crowd believes there's an edge to be found, or that the sportsbook’s initial assessment was inaccurate. It’s a good practice to compare both to gain a broader perspective.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity determine the liquidity and how quickly prices adjust to new information. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of expectations for the Twins vs Tigers game.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether the Minnesota vs Detroit baseball game goes into extra innings, as determined by official game results. The final score and official game log will be used to verify the outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual result of the game. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Twins or the Tigers would likely have a significant impact. Weather forecasts, especially those predicting rain delays or changes in playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, the performance of starting pitchers and recent team statistics could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding the teams’ strategies or potential lineup changes could move the market before Sep 9, 2026.