TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 12:07 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between two teams in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team will win or lose. Each market focuses on different point differentials, providing various ways to assess the potential outcome of the match.
All markets are based on the Minnesota vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for August 28, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by more than the stated point differential. For Denver to win, the point differential must exceed values ranging from 1.5 to 20.5 points. For Minnesota to win, the point differential must exceed values ranging from 1.5 to 14.5 points. The markets are independent, meaning each resolves based solely on its specific condition. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a blend of sharp analysis and crowd wisdom, sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on proprietary models and balancing action on both sides, prediction markets let participants vote with their trades based on evolving insights. This can lead to tighter spreads or sharper adjustments as real-time data flows in, especially when key players are in or out of lineups.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, creating a dynamic spread that adjusts with each trade. The current implied chance reflects the collective assessment of which team is likely to cover the spread, with liquidity allowing for quick adjustments. As new data emerges — such as injury reports or weather updates — the market can shift rapidly, offering a real-time barometer of expectations.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions on game day, and shifting coaching strategies can all move this market. High-profile news reports, practice updates, and even early in-game momentum can cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any last-minute changes to starting lineups or game-time decisions will be closely watched by participants, often leading to sharp movements in the spread.