TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 11:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the third quarter of a specific football game between Minnesota and Denver. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that participants can bet on, focusing solely on the points accumulated during that quarter.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by Minnesota and Denver in the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 28, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. If the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter surpass the threshold defined in a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and all markets operate independently of one another. The event is subject to the official game result, with no affiliation to the governing league.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the most likely point total range for the third quarter. The market’s probability distribution adjusts based on volume of $2,241 and recent trades, capturing how Kalshi users interpret game flow, referee calls, and momentum swings. This pricing mechanism lets participants express nuanced expectations beyond a simple over/under line.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the third quarter, as officially recorded, determines whether the total points fall above or below the set threshold. Traders can track game updates as they happen to anticipate the resolution, but the official result settles this market definitively.
Injuries, coaching strategies, and momentum shifts during the game can all move this market. Key moments like star player performance, fouls leading to free throws, or changes in defensive intensity may cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment. Additionally, any last-minute scoring bursts in the third quarter can dramatically shift expectations, influencing how Kalshi participants price the outcome in real time.