TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Minnesota and Denver during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. It focuses solely on how much one team outscores the other in that specific quarter, without considering the final game result or other quarters.
The event evaluates various point differentials by which either Minnesota or Denver could win the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 28, 2026. Ten separate markets cover different threshold amounts for Denver winning the quarter (over 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points) and for Minnesota winning the quarter (over 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points). Resolution depends entirely on the point difference scored exclusively during the second quarter of play. All markets operate independently, with each defining its own specific winning threshold for either team. The governing league's official scoring and game records will determine outcomes, though Kalshi explicitly states it holds no affiliation or endorsement from the league. Trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are set by traders investing real money rather than oddsmakers’ estimates. While sportsbooks may adjust lines for balancing action, this market price incorporates trader conviction and can diverge noticeably, especially as game-specific developments emerge in the days leading up to the quarter’s start.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes, with the price determined by supply and demand among participants. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate expectation of all market participants about which team will cover the second-quarter spread, adjusted continuously as new information and bets enter the market.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will determine whether the designated team covered the spread in the second quarter, and that result will finalize the market’s settlement on Kalshi.