TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total combined score of the Minnesota vs Chicago Pro Football game will exceed 45.5 points. Currently, the “Yes” outcome—that the game will score over 9.5 points—is trading at 97.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the game, as reported by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 20, 2026, as the final score at the end of the fourth quarter will determine the outcome of this market.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Minnesota and Chicago in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. Each market defines a unique point total threshold, ranging from 27.5 to 69.5 points. If the actual combined score surpasses the threshold defined in a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing body's official score, as recognized at the conclusion of the game, determines the outcome. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names mentioned belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value, as the market adjusts to incorporate new data and perspectives. Keep in mind that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Minnesota vs Chicago points total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific points total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts are correct and lose if they are not. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the Minnesota vs Chicago game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a points total equal to or exceeding the actual total will pay out $100, while those predicting a lower total will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the Minnesota vs Chicago points total market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting scoring, could also shift the market. Additionally, any major shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive or defensive capabilities could drive trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.