TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Aaron Jones Sr. in a specific football game between Minnesota and Chicago. It focuses on whether he achieves certain cumulative yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving plays. The outcome depends entirely on his in-game statistics.
The event evaluates whether Aaron Jones Sr. achieves specified cumulative yardage thresholds (80+, 105+, and 130+) through combined rushing and receiving yards in the Minnesota vs Chicago Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If Jones is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once he takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the total rushing and receiving yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation for each yardage benchmark.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by actual trader predictions, can sometimes offer more favorable odds, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds are often influenced by public betting patterns and expert analysis, so discrepancies can arise. It’s valuable to compare both to identify potential value and inform your decision-making process when predicting player performance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders set the odds by buying and selling contracts. The price of a contract reflects the probability of a specific outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting an outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations based on collective sentiment. The current price movements indicate what traders believe about the likely rushing and receiving yard totals for the players involved.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the combined rushing and receiving yardage achieved by the players in question during the game. Official NFL game statistics will serve as the final determination. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players are a major catalyst, as any change in player availability directly affects their projected yardage. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing or running, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or changes in offensive schemes can also influence trader behavior. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding player matchups could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.