TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:06 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often a specific player, Aaron Jones Sr., carries the ball during a football game between Minnesota and Chicago. The outcome depends on whether he reaches certain thresholds of rushing attempts. The rules account for scenarios where the player might not participate in the game.
The markets resolve based on whether Aaron Jones Sr. records a specified number of rushing attempts (14+, 17+, or 20+) in the Minnesota vs Chicago Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If Jones is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Jones takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of rushing attempts he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation for each market.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, this market incorporates a broader range of information and continuously updates as new data emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing incentives and the types of bettors each venue attracts. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and insights that haven’t fully been priced into sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, specific ranges of total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic and real-time indication of expectations for the game. The market depth shows the volume available at different price points, indicating potential support and resistance levels.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total number of rushing attempts made by both teams in the Minnesota vs. Chicago game will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for resolution. Traders will be able to view the final result and their contract payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts predicting inclement conditions that might favor a passing game. News regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also impact expectations for rushing attempts. Unexpected news about team motivation or player performance could also shift the market. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the game is crucial for informed trading in this market.