TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve particular receiving yard milestones. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' statistical accomplishments during the match.
All markets refer to designated players in the Minnesota vs Chicago Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the stated minimum receiving yards during the game. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if that snap is nullified by penalty — the market settles based solely on the receiving yards actually recorded. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance against each yardage threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced action and build in a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. However, differences can arise due to varying levels of information and differing incentives between bettors and prediction market participants. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, compared to traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges, and the price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that range occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the overall expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage totals for both the Minnesota Vikings and the Chicago Bears will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total receiving yards achieved by all players on both teams during the game. Any overtime periods will be included in the final yardage count. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Vikings or the Bears would be major catalysts. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect passing game strategies and thus receiving yardage totals. Unexpected starting quarterback changes or shifts in offensive play-calling could also lead to price adjustments. Finally, any news regarding defensive matchups or coverage schemes could influence traders’ expectations and move the market.