TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This group resolves based on the outcome of a National Hockey League (NHL) game between the Minnesota Wild and the Chicago Blackhawks. The market determines which team wins the game, accounting for overtime and shootouts, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled without a reschedule.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Minnesota vs Chicago NHL game scheduled for September 21, 2026. If Chicago wins, the Chicago market resolves to Yes; if Minnesota wins, the Minnesota market resolves to Yes. In the event of a tie, all markets resolve at 50c. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for September 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profitability, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd to accurately forecast the probability of an event. This market, like others, can reflect a more nuanced assessment of potential outcomes, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than a sportsbook might. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs, encouraging more frequent trading and potentially more efficient price discovery. The volume of $191,705 suggests active trading in this event.
Prices on Kalshi and Predict may diverge due to variations in user base, market design, and trading activity. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, Kalshi might attract a different demographic of traders with specific expertise or biases compared to Predict. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery; currently, Kalshi shows a different leading outcome than Predict. These factors contribute to independent price formation, even when both platforms address the same underlying question regarding the Minnesota vs Chicago game.