TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
Minnesota and Chicago compete in a football game, with the third quarter's scoring deciding the market outcome. The market examines which team dominates that particular quarter.
If Chicago wins the 3rd Quarter of the Minnesota vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the 3rd Quarter of the Minnesota vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd Quarter of the Minnesota vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether a particular team will win the 3rd quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, giving traders insight into the level of conviction behind various predictions. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a collective assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 3rd quarter of the Minnesota vs Chicago game will be declared the winner. The official game results will serve as the basis for determining the outcome of this market. It’s important to note that any potential delays or changes to the game schedule could impact the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be based on the official game score at the end of the 3rd quarter.
Several signals could influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Minnesota or Chicago team would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also shift expectations. Furthermore, real-time game statistics during the first half, such as scoring trends and key player performances, may lead traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role in shaping market prices leading up to the end of the 3rd quarter.