TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Minnesota and Chicago during the third quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity expected in that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Minnesota and Chicago during the third quarter of the game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the third quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The official score from the governing league at the conclusion of the third quarter will determine the outcome. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. If many traders believe the total points scored in the Minnesota vs Chicago 3rd quarter will be high, the price of the 'over' contract will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that aggregates the collective wisdom of the crowd, resulting in a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score for the 3rd quarter of the Minnesota vs Chicago game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official point total scored during the 3rd quarter, as recorded by official game statistics. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-game predictions or analyses.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Chicago teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Game day performance in the first half, and any strategic adjustments made by the coaches, will also be closely watched. Unexpected scoring drives or defensive stops can quickly alter the perceived probabilities and drive trading activity in this market.