TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
The market evaluates if the combined second-quarter score of Minnesota and Chicago in their football match set for September 20, 2026, will surpass several defined benchmarks.
The market resolves to 'Yes' for any threshold that is surpassed by the combined points both teams score in the second quarter of the designated football game. Only points from the second quarter are considered, and each market has a unique threshold that must be exceeded for a 'Yes' outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe the total will be high, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing system aims to create a real-time estimate of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 2nd quarter between Minnesota and Chicago will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded or fell below the relevant threshold. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available shortly after the conclusion of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Minnesota or Chicago would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also affect trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups might also shift expectations. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence the collective belief and therefore the price of contracts in this market.