TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Minnesota vs Chicago: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Minnesota vs Chicago?

Volume:
$33,517

Chicago wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Chicago wins 1Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 1:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chicago wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,006
N/A
N/A
$14,512
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,977
N/A
N/A
$3,901
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins 1Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,052
N/A
N/A
$3,052
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins 1Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,635
N/A
N/A
$1,436
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins 1Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,534
N/A
N/A
$1,334
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins 1Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,223
N/A
N/A
$1,223
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins 1Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,055
N/A
N/A
$1,055
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins 1Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$831
N/A
N/A
$758
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins 1Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
$611
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins 1Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
$594
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Minnesota or Chicago in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first quarter of the Minnesota vs Chicago Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. For markets specifying Chicago as the winner, resolution occurs if Chicago's point total exceeds Minnesota's by more than the stated threshold (10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points). Conversely, markets specifying Minnesota as the winner resolve if Minnesota's points exceed Chicago's by more than the given threshold (2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points). Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution, and all markets operate independently—meaning each threshold represents a distinct betting outcome. The contests are unaffiliated with the official league governing body.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Minnesota vs Chicago spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter of the game. It displays a price history chart, allowing you to see how the market has moved over time. You can also view the 24-hour volume, currently at $31,841, and the total volume traded to date, which is $33,517. This provides a comprehensive overview of market activity and sentiment surrounding the game’s opening quarter.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where public opinion diverges from professional analysis, potentially identifying opportunities for informed trading.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand—if more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of the likely outcome of the first quarter.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the first quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 USD per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.

Several factors could influence the Minnesota vs Chicago spread between now and the game's start. News regarding key player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or significant shifts in team strategy could all impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or coaching decisions are also likely to move this market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and cause price fluctuations, so monitoring the trading activity on Kalshi is crucial.