TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 1:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Minnesota and Arizona on June 20, 2026 will be analyzed for individual team run production. Bettors can wager on whether each team separately scores above various run thresholds.
Resolution is based on the final official score of the Minnesota vs Arizona professional baseball game scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. Each team's individual run total is evaluated independently against specified thresholds. Arizona's scoring is assessed against thresholds from 1.5 to 7.5 runs, while Minnesota's scoring is assessed against thresholds from 1.5 to 7.5 runs. For each threshold, the market resolves Yes if that team's final run total exceeds the specified threshold, and No otherwise. Official scoring follows standard Major League Baseball rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and attract different participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what traders believe will happen, whereas a sportsbook line is designed to split betting volume. Over time, prediction markets have shown strong accuracy on sports outcomes, though sportsbook odds remain the primary reference for traditional bettors seeking fixed payouts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and pending orders, updating instantly as new information or sentiment emerges. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before resolution, and the market's price serves as a live consensus estimate of the likelihood of the outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, once the Minnesota vs Arizona game concludes and the final team totals are verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official combined point total for both teams in the matchup. Resolution occurs after the game ends and scores are confirmed, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders.
Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, weather forecasts that may affect offensive performance, and recent team form or offensive efficiency trends. Line-movement from sportsbooks, coaching changes, or unexpected roster adjustments can shift trader expectations significantly. As game day approaches, final injury reports and pregame conditions become critical signals. Trading volume and price momentum often accelerate in the final hours, reflecting late-arriving information and last-minute positioning by informed traders.