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Minnesota vs Arizona: Home Runs
kalshi

Minnesota vs Arizona: Home Runs

Volume:
$82,611

Ketel Marte: 1+

 - Kalshi

Ketel Marte: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 20, 2026

Closed: Jun 20, 1:55 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ketel Marte: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,152
N/A
N/A
$14,702
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Bell: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,552
N/A
N/A
$2,360
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Royce Lewis: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,179
N/A
N/A
$1,048
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Victor Caratini: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$680
N/A
N/A
$597
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Byron Buxton: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,191
N/A
N/A
$15,201
Settled
No
kalshi

Geraldo Perdomo: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,831
N/A
N/A
$6,830
Settled
No
kalshi

Corbin Carroll: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,822
N/A
N/A
$6,381
Settled
No
kalshi

Nolan Arenado: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,558
N/A
N/A
$4,558
Settled
No
kalshi

Trevor Larnach: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,587
N/A
N/A
$3,587
Settled
No
kalshi

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,333
N/A
N/A
$3,313
Settled
No
kalshi

Gabriel Moreno: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,140
N/A
N/A
$2,903
Settled
No
kalshi

Luke Keaschall: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,864
N/A
N/A
$2,782
Settled
No
kalshi

Kody Clemens: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,451
N/A
N/A
$2,451
Settled
No
kalshi

Ildemaro Vargas: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,291
N/A
N/A
$2,291
Settled
No
kalshi

LuJames Groover: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,884
N/A
N/A
$1,884
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Lawlar: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,324
N/A
N/A
$1,324
Settled
No
kalshi

Brooks Lee: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$875
N/A
N/A
$875
Settled
No
kalshi

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

Tristan Gray: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
$430
Settled
No
kalshi

Corbin Carroll: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
No
kalshi

Byron Buxton: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
$291
Settled
No
kalshi

Victor Caratini: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
$271
Settled
No
kalshi

Ketel Marte: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
kalshi

Geraldo Perdomo: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

Brooks Lee: 2+

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Description

Byron Buxton, Corbin Carroll, Geraldo Perdomo, and Ketel Marte are evaluated on their home run production in the June 19, 2026 game. These markets track whether each player hits one or more home runs during the contest.

Kalshi

If Byron Buxton records 1+ home runs in Minnesota vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Byron Buxton records 2+ home runs in Minnesota vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Corbin Carroll records 1+ home runs in Minnesota vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Corbin Carroll records 2+ home runs in Minnesota vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Geraldo Perdomo records 1+ home runs in Minnesota vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Geraldo Perdomo records 2+ home runs in Minnesota vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ketel Marte records 1+ home runs in Minnesota vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ketel Marte records 2+ home runs in Minnesota vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the home run betting market dashboard displays real-time odds and price movements for this prediction market centered on the Minnesota versus Arizona matchup. Traders can monitor current probabilities, historical price trends, and trading activity to understand how the market is pricing the likelihood of home run outcomes. The dashboard provides transparency into collective market sentiment, allowing participants to track shifts in opinion as game conditions and team lineups become clearer. This view helps bettors identify potential value and timing for their trades before the event concludes.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money incentives to forecast accurately. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines based on betting volume and liability, whereas this market prices outcomes through continuous trading. Both sources can offer valuable signals, but prediction markets often incorporate broader information flows and may react faster to breaking news or lineup changes closer to game time.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where buyers and sellers negotiate contract values in real time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders submit bids and asks, and the market price reflects the equilibrium between supply and demand at any moment. As new information emerges—such as injury reports, weather updates, or batting order announcements—traders adjust their positions, causing the price to shift. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the odds remain responsive to changing conditions and collective expectations about home run outcomes in the Minnesota-Arizona game.

This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, once the game concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on the final home run count or threshold specified in the market terms, confirmed through official game records and reporting. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure they understand exactly which statistics will determine the winner. After the game ends and results are published, the market will settle based on the verified outcome.

Several catalysts could shift odds in this market before it closes. Lineup announcements, injuries to key power hitters, or changes in starting pitchers can significantly alter home run expectations. Weather conditions at the stadium—wind speed and direction, temperature, and humidity—affect ball carry and may increase or decrease home run likelihood. Recent team performance trends, historical matchups between these teams, and late-breaking news about player availability can also trigger rapid repricing. Traders should stay alert to these developments to identify trading opportunities.