TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vancouver Whitecaps FC" if Vancouver Whitecaps FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vancouver Whitecaps FC" if Vancouver Whitecaps FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than a fixed bookmaker margin. On this market, odds adjust instantly as new information emerges—injuries, weather, lineup changes—whereas sportsbooks may lag or adjust more cautiously. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at pricing niche outcomes like first-goal scenarios, since traders with direct knowledge can profit by correcting mispriced odds. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities, though both venues ultimately reflect the same underlying event uncertainty.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—whether one team or the other scores first—has its own contract, and the combined probability of all outcomes equals 100 percent. As traders buy shares of an outcome, its price rises; as they sell, it falls. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays liquid and responsive to new information throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regulation play. Resolution occurs after credible public sources confirm the result, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Early payouts may occur if one team has mathematically clinched first-goal status, though most outcomes settle shortly after final whistle.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star strikers or defensive players, official lineup announcements, and weather conditions on match day. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one side can signal informed positioning. Recent form, head-to-head scoring patterns, and home-field advantage also influence trader behavior. As kickoff nears, any late-breaking roster changes or tactical shifts will likely trigger sharp repricing. Live match momentum—early pressure, fouls, or near-misses—will drive final moves until the opening goal is scored.