TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 11:31 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC match originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC match originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on accuracy. Prediction markets typically excel at pricing niche outcomes—such as exact scores—because they allow direct wagering on granular events without the sportsbook's built-in margin. For this market, comparing the crowd's probability estimates to traditional sports betting lines can reveal where public perception and professional oddsmakers disagree most sharply.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities for each exact-score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the cumulative conviction of all traders; as more capital flows into a particular scoreline, its odds rise, and competing outcomes fall. The system ensures continuous liquidity and transparent price discovery. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the final price just before resolution often represents the sharpest collective forecast available.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded by the league and confirmed through credible public reporting. No partial or overtime adjustments apply unless the league's official record explicitly reflects them. Traders should monitor official league channels and reputable sports news sources as the resolution date approaches to ensure they understand which scoreline will be deemed correct.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—typically moves exact-score markets significantly, since even small roster changes can alter expected goal output. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence trader conviction about likely scorelines. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and late-breaking injury reports in the hours before kickoff often trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, if either team's playoff or championship hopes hinge on this result, desperation or caution may shift the probability distribution toward more defensive or aggressive scorelines. Monitor team social media and sports news outlets for breaking developments.