TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the exact final score of the Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC MLS soccer match scheduled for July 25, 2026. The outcome is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the final score of the Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026, measured after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. Extra time periods and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Each possible correct score outcome—ranging from 0-0 draws to high-scoring results—resolves to Yes if that exact final score is achieved. Own goals are credited to the team that benefits from the goal. The resolution is based solely on the official match result as recorded by MLS.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction across many possible correct scores, whereas sportsbooks typically offer only moneyline, spread, or over-under totals. Comparing the two can reveal where professional traders see value relative to conventional betting markets, though both respond dynamically to new information about team form and injuries.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order matching, where traders submit bids and asks for each correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform aggregates these orders into a real-time price for every possible final scoreline. Prices move as new information emerges—team news, lineup changes, or betting flow—and traders adjust their positions accordingly. Each outcome's price reflects the collective probability estimate of all active traders, with deeper liquidity typically narrowing bid-ask spreads and improving price discovery for the most likely scorelines.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded by the league and verified against credible public sources. All bets on the correct scoreline that matches the verified result are paid out in full, while all other outcomes expire worthless. Early resolution is not typical unless the match is abandoned or postponed under league rules, in which case the platform will communicate any changes to the resolution timeline.
Key injury announcements, lineup confirmations, and recent team form will likely shift odds for specific scorelines in this market. Unexpected roster changes or managerial decisions can alter perceived match dynamics and reshape trader expectations. Weather conditions at kickoff, historical head-to-head trends, and any late-breaking tactical news may also trigger repricing across outcomes. Trading volume and momentum can amplify moves if a particular scoreline suddenly attracts heavy action, signaling a shift in trader conviction as the match approaches.