TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC
polymarket
kalshi
predict

What is the result of Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC?

Volume:
$1,189,275

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 10:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$326,118
N/A
N/A
$192,060
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$42,664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$3,229
$8,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$642
$10,067
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vancouver

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$497,584
N/A
N/A
$324,772
Settled
No
polymarket

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91,492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Minnesota United FC

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$640
$7,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$185,687
N/A
N/A
$135,736
Settled
No
polymarket

Minnesota United FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether the Major League Soccer match between Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026, will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0% across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict. Resolution is sourced from the official MLS schedule and scores page. Watch the match on July 25, 2026, as this is the event that will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Draw market cancellation logic differs between platforms. Polymarket and Predict explicitly resolve a canceled game (no make-up) to YES on the draw market, while Kalshi does not specify cancellation handling for its three-outcome structure.Hero tip: Traders holding draw positions should note that Polymarket and Predict offer explicit protection: if the match is canceled with no reschedule, the draw market pays out. Kalshi traders should seek clarification on cancellation resolution before the event date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Minnesota win (YES if Minnesota wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, YES if canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise), Vancouver win (YES if Vancouver wins, NO otherwise). Resolution source is official MLS statistics within 2 hours or credible consensus. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets: Minnesota win, Vancouver win, and Tie. Each resolves YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Cancellation handling is undefined.
  • Predict: Three separate binary markets: Minnesota win (YES if Minnesota wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, YES if canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise), Vancouver win (YES if Vancouver wins, NO otherwise). Resolution source is official MLS statistics within 2 hours or credible consensus. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Minnesota vs Vancouver professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—Minnesota win, Vancouver win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps FC.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Prediction market prices often reflect longer-term consensus and can be more efficient when liquidity is deep, since traders profit by being right rather than by volume. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders are pricing in information that oddsmakers have not yet fully reflected.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different market mechanics—such as order-book depth, settlement timing, or user interface—that influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Regulatory differences and platform-specific risk tolerances can also play a role. Additionally, traders on one venue may have access to different data sources or hold different conviction levels, leading one platform to price the outcome higher or lower than the other. These gaps typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit them, but they can persist if liquidity is thin.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift odds significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings may influence trader sentiment as the match draws closer. Weather conditions, venue factors, or travel circumstances could also impact pricing. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering either platform may trigger rapid repricing. Team news, coaching changes, or tactical adjustments announced in the days before kickoff often trigger volatility. Additionally, if one platform experiences a large trade or sees a sudden influx of volume, arbitrage traders may push prices on the other venue to follow, creating cross-platform momentum.