TOTAL VOLUME:

$106b

24H VOL:

$109,128,521

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,105,801,315

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,128,309,501

237,089

Markets across

22,824

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,816

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

43%

VS.

Kalshi:

57%

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Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners
⌛Ending Soon
predict
kalshi
polymarket
opinion

Who will win Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners?

Total volume:
$6,853,974
Volume 24h:
$6,740,765N/A
Liquidity:
$21,744
98%
Open interest:
$3,375,450
10,307%

Time left: 01d:06h:57m

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners

47%chance
Amount

$

$20

$50

$100

$500

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 47¢ buys you 213 shares | Odds: 47% Total Payout: $213 | Net Profit: $113 Multiplier: 2.13x | ROI: 113% APY not meaningful
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Outcome
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Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks the winner of the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and the Seattle Mariners. The current aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 47.0%. Data is aggregated from Predict, Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion, with resolution based on official final statistics from MLB.com. The key catalyst to monitor is the game itself, scheduled for July 31 at 10:10 PM ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same resolution logic based on official MLB statistics or credible reporting for tie, cancellation, and postponement scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics from MLB.com

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the winning team if one team wins the game
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed
  • If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: The market remains open until the game is completed as a makeup game
  • Cancellation: The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup game
  • Tie: The market resolves 50-50 if the game ends in a tie
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official final statistics are published by MLB or within 24 hours after the event's conclusion if official statistics are delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 31 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Minnesota vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 31, 2026, at 10:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 31 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-02 20:10 UTC: If the Minnesota Twins win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the Seattle Mariners win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Twins vs. Mariners matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence in trader sentiment. It tracks total volume of $6,853,974 and recent 24-hour volume of $5,995,590, letting users see how this market evolves as the game approaches. The view combines data from Polymarket and Predict, highlighting any shifts in probability and liquidity that reflect broader market dynamics.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set a line based on historical performance and public betting trends, prediction markets reflect real-time participant sentiment and can adjust more quickly. For example, if a key player is injured, this market may shift faster than sportsbook odds, capturing immediate reactions from informed traders.

This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game data, such as score updates and play-by-play records, ensuring an impartial and transparent conclusion for all participants.

Injuries, weather delays, and pitcher rotations can all shift this market as the game nears. Key performances in earlier matchups between the teams, changes in betting volume on either side, and last-minute roster announcements often create volatility. Traders will watch these signals closely, as they can dramatically alter perceptions of likely outcomes before Aug 2, 2026.