TOTAL VOLUME:

$106b

24H VOL:

$109,128,521

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,105,801,315

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,128,309,501

237,089

Markets across

22,824

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,816

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

43%

VS.

Kalshi:

57%

BETA
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and the Colorado Rockies. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 53.0%, drawing data from Polymarket, Predict, Kalshi, and Opinion, with resolution based on official final statistics from MLB.com. The second outcome, concerning whether any runs will be scored in the first inning, holds a probability of 0.1%. Watch for the game scheduled for July 31 at 8:40 PM ET as the key catalyst for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus, with identical handling of postponements, cancellations, and ties.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics from MLB.com, with credible reporting consensus as backup

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to the winning team based on official final game result
  • If game is postponed, market remains open until completion
  • If game is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie, market resolves 50-50
  • First inning run market resolves based on whether either team scores in the first inning

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Market remains open until makeup game is completed
  • Cancellation: Market resolves 50-50 if no makeup game is scheduled
  • Tie: Market resolves 50-50 if game ends in a tie (including after extra innings)
Timing: Resolution occurs when official MLB statistics are published, or within 24 hours of game conclusion if using credible reporting consensusOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 31 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between Kansas City and Colorado originally scheduled for July 31, 2026. If either team wins the game as ultimately played, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original date, the market remains open until completion. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 31 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-02 19:10 UTC: If the Kansas City Royals win, the market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". If the Colorado Rockies win, the market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Royals vs. Rockies matchup market aggregates data across multiple platforms, showing real-time probabilities, volume of $2,946,157, and 24-hour volume of $2,670,625. It provides a consensus view of how traders on different venues price this market, highlighting any shifts in sentiment as the game approaches.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through user-driven trading, while traditional sportsbooks set their lines based on broader public betting patterns and analytical models. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, real-time sentiment and can diverge noticeably from sportsbook lines, especially in lower-volume matchups like the Royals vs. Rockies matchup market. The gap between the two can highlight where informed traders see value versus the general betting public. For participants, this difference offers an opportunity to compare crowd-sourced forecasts against established sportsbook probabilities, potentially finding edges where the two pricing mechanisms align or diverge.

This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result is determined by the official game records, matching the real-world performance of the teams in their head-to-head contest. Traders can track live game updates as the contest unfolds, with the market settling based on confirmed box scores and game results from authoritative sports databases.

Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include starting pitcher announcements, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and recent performance trends of the teams. Injuries or lineup changes announced closer to the game can also cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment, impacting the odds on both platforms as new information becomes available.