TOTAL VOLUME:
$106b
24H VOL:
$109,128,521
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,105,801,315
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,128,309,501
237,089
Markets across
22,824
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
43%
VS.
Kalshi:
57%
Time left: 01d:05h:57m
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Trade on Opinion
At 53¢ buys you 189 shares | Odds: 53% Total Payout: $189 | Net Profit: $89 Multiplier: 1.89x | ROI: 89% APY not meaningfulTrade on Predict
At 1¢ buys you 10,000 shares | Odds: 1% Total Payout: $10,000 | Net Profit: $9,900 Multiplier: 100.00x | ROI: 9,900% | APY: N/ATrade on Polymarket
At 0.1¢ buys you 100,000 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $100,000 | Net Profit: $99,900 Multiplier: 1000.00x | ROI: 99,900% APY not meaningful 6 days to resolutionThis market tracks the outcome of the MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and the Colorado Rockies. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 53.0%, drawing data from Polymarket, Predict, Kalshi, and Opinion, with resolution based on official final statistics from MLB.com. The second outcome, concerning whether any runs will be scored in the first inning, holds a probability of 0.1%. Watch for the game scheduled for July 31 at 8:40 PM ET as the key catalyst for resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 31 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between Kansas City and Colorado originally scheduled for July 31, 2026. If either team wins the game as ultimately played, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original date, the market remains open until completion. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 31 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-02 19:10 UTC: If the Kansas City Royals win, the market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". If the Colorado Rockies win, the market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through user-driven trading, while traditional sportsbooks set their lines based on broader public betting patterns and analytical models. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, real-time sentiment and can diverge noticeably from sportsbook lines, especially in lower-volume matchups like the Royals vs. Rockies matchup market. The gap between the two can highlight where informed traders see value versus the general betting public. For participants, this difference offers an opportunity to compare crowd-sourced forecasts against established sportsbook probabilities, potentially finding edges where the two pricing mechanisms align or diverge.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result is determined by the official game records, matching the real-world performance of the teams in their head-to-head contest. Traders can track live game updates as the contest unfolds, with the market settling based on confirmed box scores and game results from authoritative sports databases.
Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include starting pitcher announcements, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and recent performance trends of the teams. Injuries or lineup changes announced closer to the game can also cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment, impacting the odds on both platforms as new information becomes available.