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Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
polymarket
predict

Who will win Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees?

Volume:
$605,415

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 1:35 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$487,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

View
N/A
N/A
—
$5,821
$3,760
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$583
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event group covers an MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees scheduled for July 5 at 1:35 PM ET. Markets track both the overall game winner and specific in-game outcomes such as whether a run is scored in the first inning.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Predict share identical resolution criteria, edge case handling, and primary source authority.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics from MLB.com and the governing body (MLB); credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 24 hours of game conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Game winner market resolves to Minnesota Twins if Twins win, New York Yankees if Yankees win
  • First inning run market resolves Yes if at least one run is scored by either team in the 1st inning, No if zero runs score
  • Postponed games remain open and unresolved until the makeup game is completed
  • Entirely canceled games with no makeup game resolve 50-50
  • Game winner market resolves 50-50 if the game ends in a tie

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Postponement: Market remains open until the postponed game is completed. Resolution source is the makeup game's official statistics.
  • Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the market resolves 50-50.
  • Tie Game: Game winner market resolves 50-50 if the game ends in a tie (applicable only to game winner markets, not first inning run markets).
  • Delayed Official Statistics: If MLB does not publish official final statistics within 24 hours of game conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the game concludes and official MLB statistics are published, or within 24 hours thereafter if credible reporting consensus is required. Postponed games extend the resolution timeline until the makeup game is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 5 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 5 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here often diverge from traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate real-time trader conviction without the margin built into sportsbook pricing. Sportsbooks balance liability and profit; prediction markets reflect pure supply and demand among participants. This market's odds may move faster or wider than sportsbook lines in response to breaking news, injury reports, or lineup changes. Comparing the two can reveal inefficiencies—if this market prices one side significantly higher or lower than major books, sharp bettors may spot an edge worth exploring.

Polymarket and Predict can show different probabilities on the same event for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices form. Polymarket may have deeper liquidity in this matchup, allowing larger positions to move the price less; Predict might see concentrated bets from a smaller but equally confident group. Regulatory differences and platform-specific rules also play a role. Savvy traders monitor both to spot arbitrage or to gauge which community has fresher information.

Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, bullpen availability, recent team form, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions at game time—wind direction, temperature, humidity—can shift run-scoring expectations and sway trader positioning. Late lineup changes, umpire assignments, and travel fatigue also influence outcomes. Breaking news on player health or unexpected roster moves often triggers sharp repricing. Additionally, if either team clinches or is eliminated from playoff contention, motivation and rest patterns may shift trader expectations, creating volatility in this market leading up to first pitch.