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406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Who will win Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees?

Volume:
$5,826,022

New York Y

 - Kalshi

New York Y - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 10:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York Y

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,234,082
N/A
N/A
$1,389,645
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$93,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,982,183
N/A
N/A
$1,650,099
Settled
No
polymarket

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$356,423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

View
N/A
N/A
—
$323
$14,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market tracks whether the Minnesota Twins versus New York Yankees game scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET will extend beyond nine innings. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability for extra innings, with resolution determined by MLB.com official scores. Watch the game's progression through regulation innings, as the final score and inning count on July 3 will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's Yes/No structure resolves both Minnesota win and New York win to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Predict and Polymarket use standard moneyline logic (one outcome per winner) with consistent tie/cancellation handling, but Kalshi's framework is fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero tip: Trade only Predict and Polymarket moneyline markets. Kalshi's market requires platform clarification before it can be safely settled. Do not assume Kalshi will default to 50-50 on ties; the Yes/Yes resolution structure suggests a platform error.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict & Polymarket (Moneyline): Standard binary outcome: Twins win resolves to Minnesota Twins, Yankees win resolves to New York Yankees. Tie or cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, or credible consensus if delayed.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory Yes/No logic: 'If Minnesota wins...resolves to Yes. If New York Y wins...resolves to Yes.' No explicit tie or cancellation clause. Both outcomes map to the same resolution state, making the market logically inconsistent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 3 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

This event covers the Minnesota vs New York Yankees professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. Resolution is determined by the final outcome of the game, with each team's market resolving to Yes if that team wins. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 3 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity on the Twins vs. Yankees matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, giving you a real-time consensus view of how traders are pricing the outcome. You can monitor shifting odds, compare how each platform values the same event, and track total trading volume across both venues. The cross-platform view helps you spot divergences and understand where the broader prediction market stands as the game approaches.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader consensus—what participants genuinely believe will happen. Prediction market odds often incorporate real-time information and can move faster than traditional sportsbooks, especially as game time approaches. Comparing the two can reveal whether public sentiment differs from professional oddsmakers' views.

Key catalysts include injury announcements affecting either roster, lineup changes, weather conditions on game day, and recent team performance trends. Trades or roster moves before the season can reshape expectations. As game time nears, betting activity on external sportsbooks may influence prediction market prices. Breaking news about player availability or team strategy can trigger sharp moves. Monitor sports news feeds and official team announcements for developments that traders will price in immediately.