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406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Who will win Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros?

Volume:
$581,423

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 8:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$478,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3,576
$724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$31,643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,972
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,093
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,681
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,298
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 13.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Game goes to extra innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
$210
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event group covers an MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros with multiple markets tracking the game winner and first-inning scoring. Markets are listed across three platforms with slight variations in scheduled date and specific market types (moneyline, first-inning run, extra innings).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scheduled game date differs across platforms: Polymarket lists July 1, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET, while Predict and Kalshi list June 29 (Kalshi specifies 2026). This date mismatch creates potential for markets to reference different games or trigger different postponement/cancellation outcomes.Hero tip: Verify the official MLB.com schedule for the Twins vs. Astros game. If the actual game is on June 29, Polymarket's July 1 date may cause it to resolve to a makeup game or trigger a cancellation clause. If on July 1, Predict and Kalshi may resolve prematurely or to the wrong game. Cross-reference all three platforms against the official MLB schedule before entering positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Scheduled for July 1 at 8:10 PM ET. Moneyline and first-inning run markets. Resolves to official MLB final statistics or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.'
  • Predict: Scheduled for June 29 at 8:10 PM ET. Moneyline market only. Resolves to official MLB final statistics or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.'
  • Kalshi: Scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. Extra innings market only. Resolves Yes if game goes to extra innings. No explicit postponement or cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Minnesota and Houston go to extra innings in the Minnesota vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 29, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 1 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If Minnesota and Houston go to extra innings in the Minnesota vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 29, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros, scheduled for June 29 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader consensus rather than sportsbook pricing models. While sportsbooks balance liability and apply margins, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from thousands of independent participants betting their own capital. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook lines depending on which venue has fresher information about injuries, weather, or lineup changes. Comparing the two can reveal value opportunities, though prediction market prices tend to converge toward sportsbook consensus as the event nears.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have different user bases with varying access to breaking news or regional bias toward one team. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but if capital is slow to move between platforms or if one venue has significantly deeper liquidity, price divergence can persist for hours. Monitoring both helps you spot when one platform is mispricing relative to the other.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates for either team's star players. Weather forecasts closer to game day can shift expectations, especially for outdoor conditions affecting ball carry and visibility. Trade deadline moves, recent team performance streaks, and head-to-head matchup history also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about lineup changes or last-minute roster decisions typically triggers sharp repricing, so monitoring team social media and sports news feeds helps you anticipate market swings before they happen.