TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 5:37 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-20 22:40 UTC: If the Minnesota Twins win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-20 22:40 UTC: If the Minnesota Twins win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders with real money at stake. This market aggregates decentralized trader conviction rather than a bookmaker's calculated spread, which can lead to sharper or earlier price discovery on key catalysts. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional oddsmaking.
On Opinion, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders directly buy and sell outcome shares. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last executed order—and moves as new bets flow in. Wider spreads indicate lower liquidity and higher uncertainty, while tighter spreads suggest strong consensus. Real-time price discovery happens continuously as traders react to breaking news, team announcements, or statistical shifts.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, once the game concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score and official game result as recorded by the relevant sports authority. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information and momentum shift market prices. Resolution is automatic once the event is confirmed.
Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and bullpen availability can shift trader positioning significantly. Breaking news about player status or lineup decisions often triggers sharp price moves as the market reprices risk. Momentum swings from related games, betting syndicate activity, or shifts in public sentiment can also drive volume and volatility in this market leading up to game time.