TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Who will win Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs?

Volume:
$6,420,594

Chicago C

 - Kalshi

Chicago C - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 5:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chicago C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,142,405
N/A
N/A
$1,340,373
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34,219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,826
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$773
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$486
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$453
$5,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,480,501
N/A
N/A
$1,646,214
Settled
No
polymarket

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,259,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$437,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25

Intro

This market tracks the total runs scored in the Minnesota Twins versus Chicago Cubs matchup scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET, with a consensus probability of 100.0% for the Over/Under 7.5 runs outcome across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict. Resolution will be determined by official MLB records. Watch for the final game result on July 18, 2026 to see whether combined scoring exceeds or falls short of the 7.5-run threshold.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's winner market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves to Yes for both possible outcomes (Minnesota win OR Chicago win), making the market unresolvable and unhedgeable. Polymarket and Predict correctly implement binary winner logic.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's winner market. It will resolve Yes regardless of which team wins, eliminating all price discovery and risk management. Use Polymarket or Predict for winner markets, which are logically sound and mutually exclusive.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner market: resolves to 'Minnesota Twins' if Twins win, 'Chicago Cubs' if Cubs win. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics or credible reporting within 24 hours.
  • Predict: Binary winner market: resolves to 'Minnesota Twins' if Twins win, 'Chicago Cubs' if Cubs win. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics or credible reporting within 24 hours.
  • Kalshi: BROKEN LOGIC: resolves to Yes if Minnesota wins AND also resolves to Yes if Chicago wins. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation. This creates a market that cannot distinguish outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for July 18 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the outcome of the Minnesota vs Chicago Cubs professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the markets remain open and will close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled entirely or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price determined in accordance with Kalshi's standard resolution procedures.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for July 18 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks aim to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs in real time with minimal intermediation. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating faster-moving information than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than the betting market, though both should be viewed as estimates rather than certainties.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, weather conditions at game time, and recent team performance trends. Betting action from sharp money or large syndicates can shift prices quickly, as can breaking news about player availability or lineup decisions. Sportsbook line movements often precede or mirror prediction market moves, so monitoring those can signal incoming repricing. As game time approaches, live updates and pre-game commentary will likely drive final volatility in this market.