TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball team achieves various win totals during the 2026 regular season.
Resolution is determined by Minnesota's regular season win total in 2026. The event resolves to Yes if the team achieves 55 or more wins. Ties do not count as wins. Win thresholds are evaluated at the conclusion of the regular season.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and reflect changing expectations about the Minnesota baseball season.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final standings of the Minnesota baseball team at the end of the season, specifically whether they achieve a predetermined level of success. The exact criteria for determining a winning outcome are defined within the market's specifications on Kalshi and will be verified against official league results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries, unexpected trades, or a significant shift in team performance – either positive or negative – would likely cause price fluctuations. News regarding coaching changes or changes in team strategy could also move the market. Additionally, broader factors like the overall strength of the league or the performance of key rivals could influence traders' perceptions and, consequently, the prices within this market. Any event affecting the team's projected win-loss record is likely to be reflected in the trading activity.