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404,028

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Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces?

Volume:
$3,418,463

Minnesota

 - Kalshi

Minnesota - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 10:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,693,681
N/A
N/A
$835,608
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$161,839
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Natasha Howard: Points O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Olivia Miles: Points O/U 19.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Olivia Miles: Points O/U 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Natasha Howard: Points O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,328,393
N/A
N/A
$706,474
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 182.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 181.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 183.5

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 19.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kayla McBride: Points O/U 16.5

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Courtney Williams: Points O/U 12.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kayla McBride: Points O/U 15.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.5

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Intro

This market tracks whether A'ja Wilson will record more than 3.5 assists in the Minnesota Lynx versus Las Vegas Aces game scheduled for August 15, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, that she will hit the over, is 100.0% across Polymarket and Kalshi. The official game results, including any overtime periods, will determine resolution through the WNBA website. The outcome will be confirmed by August 16, 2026, following the end of the game window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch between binary outcome (Polymarket) and yes/no outcome (Kalshi)Hero tip: Do not arbitrage between these markets. Kalshi will always resolve Yes regardless of which team wins, while Polymarket requires exact team name matching. Treat them as separate bets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name ('Minnesota Lynx' or 'Las Vegas Aces') based on game winner; 50-50 for canceled games with no makeup
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the originally scheduled game; no No outcome available
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 15 at 8:00PM ET: If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the women's professional basketball game between Minnesota and Las Vegas scheduled for August 15, 2026. If either team wins the game as originally scheduled, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and will close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-day window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.