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406,065

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30,522

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces
kalshi
polymarket

Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces

Volume:
$726,584

Over 187.5 points scored

 - Kalshi

Over 187.5 points scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 10:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 187.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$212,748
N/A
N/A
$64,521
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 179.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$91,772
N/A
N/A
$34,881
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 171.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$71,095
N/A
N/A
$36,564
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 172.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 174.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$49,394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 163.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,272
N/A
N/A
$9,638
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 173.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,002
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 155.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,912
N/A
N/A
$2,627
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,734
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group covers a WNBA matchup between the Minnesota Lynx and Las Vegas Aces scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span three distinct resolution types: moneyline (winner), over/under total points, and point spread.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Over/Under total-points thresholds differ between platforms. Kalshi publishes five separate markets at 155.5, 163.5, 171.5, 179.5, and 187.5 points; Polymarket uses a single 172.5 threshold. Moneyline and spread logic are consistent.Hero tip: Traders should identify which Kalshi threshold they are trading and cross-reference against Polymarket's 172.5 line. A combined score of 172 points creates a divergent outcome: Yes on Kalshi 171.5, but Under on Polymarket 172.5. Use the closest Kalshi threshold (171.5) for approximate hedging, but do not assume perfect correlation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Single Over/Under market at 172.5 total points. Resolves Over if combined score is 173 or more; Under if less than 173. Source: WNBA official scores. Handles postponement by remaining open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Five separate binary markets on combined scoring: 155.5, 163.5, 171.5, 179.5, 187.5 points. Each resolves Yes if teams score more than the stated threshold. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation stated in provided rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for June 13 at 8:00PM ET: If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The Minnesota vs Las Vegas women's professional basketball game scheduled for June 13, 2026 will be evaluated across multiple total point thresholds. Each market resolves to Yes if the combined final score of both teams exceeds its specified threshold: 155.5 points, 163.5 points, 171.5 points, 179.5 points, or 187.5 points. The resolution is determined by the official final score at the conclusion of regulation play, including any overtime periods if necessary. These tiered markets allow bettors to express varying degrees of confidence in offensive output, with higher thresholds corresponding to higher-scoring game scenarios.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover prices. This market's odds reflect what thousands of individual traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional books update lines. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook spreads can reveal inefficiencies, though both should converge as the event date nears.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in user base, liquidity depth, and fee structures naturally create price variations. Polymarket and Kalshi may attract traders with different information sets or risk appetites, causing temporary divergence. Additionally, each platform's order-book dynamics and withdrawal policies influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. These gaps typically narrow closer to resolution, but arbitrage opportunities can persist if one venue has thinner liquidity or slower-moving participants.

Key catalysts include player injuries or roster changes, recent team performance trends, head-to-head matchup history, and playoff seeding implications. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks often precedes prediction market shifts, so monitoring those updates can signal incoming trades here. Team announcements, coaching decisions, and late-breaking news about player availability typically trigger sharp repricing. Media narratives and public sentiment shifts also influence retail traders, so tracking sports commentary and social discussion can help anticipate market momentum.