TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries
kalshi
polymarket

Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries

Volume:
$669,338

Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries

 - Polymarket

Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 19, 10:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$490,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$42,319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 162.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 163.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 166.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 161.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 164.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 167.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,514
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 165.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,604
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Game goes to overtime

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$686
N/A
N/A
$619
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers a WNBA game between the Minnesota Lynx and Golden State Valkyries scheduled for June 19, 2026. Two prediction markets track different aspects: one focuses on whether the game goes to overtime, while the other resolves on the final winner. Both markets reference the same underlying game but with distinct settlement criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scope divergence: Kalshi measures overtime occurrence while Polymarket measures game winner. Both reference the same June 19, 2026 game but resolve on orthogonal outcomes.Hero tip: These markets are complementary, not competing. You can win both (Valkyries overtime victory), lose both (Lynx regulation win), or split outcomes. Do not treat as redundant. Monitor game context for overtime likelihood separately from win probability.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Overtime binary. Resolves YES if game reaches overtime regardless of winner, NO if game ends in regulation. Quote: 'If Minnesota and Golden State go to overtime in the Minnesota vs Golden State women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Winner ternary. Resolves to Minnesota Lynx or Golden State Valkyries based on final score including overtime. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to Minnesota Lynx. If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to Golden State Valkyries.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for June 19 at 10:00PM ET: If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

If Minnesota and Golden State go to overtime in the Minnesota vs Golden State women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are driven by peer-to-peer trading rather than bookmaker margins, often reflecting sharper, less-biased estimates of true probability. Sportsbooks build in juice and adjust lines to balance liability, whereas this market prices through direct supply and demand. Over time, prediction market odds tend to converge toward actual outcomes more accurately than traditional sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception diverges from professional oddsmaking.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different regulatory frameworks, user bases, and liquidity profiles, which can create pricing gaps even on identical events. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's fee structure, available trading pairs, and the mix of retail versus professional traders also influence how quickly prices adjust to news. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge when one venue lags the other, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays typically prevent perfect convergence. Monitoring both helps you identify mispricings and understand which platform's crowd is more informed on this particular matchup.

Key injury announcements, roster changes, or coaching decisions involving either team can shift odds significantly. Recent performance trends, head-to-head history, and any trades or free-agent signings will influence trader sentiment. Media coverage, expert predictions, and line movement at major sportsbooks often trigger repricing here as well. Closer to game day, weather conditions, last-minute lineup confirmations, and sharp money flowing into one side typically drive the largest moves. Monitor team social media and league news feeds for catalysts that could reshape market expectations.